devterРазвитие территорийTerritory Development2412-8945Сибирский институт управления10.32324/2412-8945-2021-2-96-104devter-21Research ArticleГОСУДАРСТВО И ГРАЖДАНСКОЕ ОБЩЕСТВО, ИДЕОЛОГИЯ И ПОЛИТИКАSTATE AND CIVIL SOCIETY, IDEOLOGY AND POLITICSРОЛЬ МОЛОДЕЖНОЙ ПОЛИТИКИ В СТАБИЛИЗАЦИИ ПОЛИТИЧЕСКИХ РЕЖИМОВTHE ROLE OF YOUTH POLICY IN STABILIZATION OF POLITICAL REGIMESЛухматоваЗ. Т.LukhmanovaZ. T.

ЛУХМАНОВА Зарина Талибовна — соискатель ученой степени доктора Ph.D

Zarina T. LUKHMANOVA — PhD candidate

ztlukhmanova@gmail.comИнститут изучения проблем молодежи и подготовки перспективных кадров при Агентстве по делам молодежиThe Institute for Research of the Youth Problems and Training Prospective Personnel under the Agency of Youth Affairs 20212005202102 (24)96104Copyright © Лухматова З.Т., 20212021Лухматова З.Т.Lukhmanova Z.T.Данная работа распространяется под лицензией Creative Commons Attribution 4.0.This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.https://devter.elpub.ru/jour/article/view/21

В данной статье предлагаются подходы к управлению политической стабильностью государства посредством использования характера и направления взаимосвязей между молодежной политикой и различными типами политических режимов. Под молодежной политикой понимается система мер государства, направленная на поддержание и развитие молодежи. В этой связи в целях измерения молодежной политики был взят Индекс развития молодежи (The Commonwealth Youth Development Index 2013/ Global Youth Development Index 2016) 2013, 2016 гг. Под политической стабильностью понимаются изменения в политической системе, которые измеряются посредством индикаторов политической нестабильности, в частности таких, как политические убийства, политические забастовки, повстанческие действия, правительственные кризисы, чистки (репрессии), массовые беспорядки, революции и антиправительственные демонстрации. Для измерения стабильности используются данные The Cross National Time Series (CNTS). Для разделения государств по типам политических режимов использованы показатели Polity IV, в частности чистые демократии, гибридные демократии и автократии. В целом в выборку вошли 153 государства. В данном исследовании был проведен анализ роли влияния молодежной политики на стабильность разных политических режимов. Анализ показал, что между молодежной политикой и уровнем стабильности в различных политических режимах существует нелинейная связь. 

In this article, the author analyzes the relationship between youth policy and stability in various political regimes. Today, the world's population is growing, and the main cohort is occupied by young people. In this regard, they are both a positive resource and a negative. According to the research, the propensity of young people to terrorist and protest activity is due to the fact that the state is not able to meet the needs of young people. In particular, the youth policy is understood as a system of measures of the state aimed at the maintenance and development of youth. In this regard, the Commonwealth Youth Development Index 2013 and Global Youth Development Index 2016 was used to measure youth policy in 2013, 2016. Political stability refers to changes in the political system that are measured by indicators of political instability, such as terrorism and guerrilla warfare, assassinations, revolutions, riots, purges, major government crises, anti-government demonstrations, general strikes. The Cross National Time Series (CNTS) data is used to measure stability. The Polity IV indicators, in particular pure democracies, hybrid democracies, and autocracies, were used to divide states by types of political regimes. In total, the sample included 153 States. In this study, the role of the influence of youth policy on the stability of different political regimes was analyzed. The analysis showed that there is a non-linear relationship between youth policy and the level of stability in different political regimes.

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The authors declare that there are no conflicts of interest present.