Modeling of livestock and crop production in the region
https://doi.org/10.32324/2412-8945-2023-2-72-81
Abstract
Economic growth in the regions is substantially determined by the development of agriculture, which ensures the satisfaction of the population's needs for foodstuffs. Modeling of the development of animal husbandry and plant growing allows to reveal the factors influencing the functioning of agricultural branches, including the dependence of the territory on food export, to determine their quantitative influence on the increase in the number of cattle and gross harvest of crops, which determines the relevance of the chosen topic of the research. The preliminary classification of the districts of the Republic of Mari El has allowed to build models of development of animal husbandry and crop production for qualitatively homogeneous groups of territories by the level of economic development, reflecting the main factors, influencing on which it is possible to increase the productivity of agricultural development in certain groups of districts and, as a consequence, in the republic as a whole. The proposed study can be of practical importance in the activities of analytical services when drawing up programs of economic development of the Republic of Mari El.
About the Author
T. A. IgnashevaRussian Federation
Tatyana A. Ignasheva — Candidate of Economic Sciences, Associate Professor, Associate Professor of the Department of Applied Statistics and Digital Technology; Associate Professor, Department of Information Systems in Economics
Yoshkar-Ola
References
1. Rutkauskas A.-V.M. Sistema prognozirovaniya regional'nogo vosproizvodstva [Regional reproduction forecasting system]. Moscow, Nauka, 1977, 85 p.
2. Timchuka N.F. (ed.) Modelirovanie territorial'nykh sistem (prognozirovanie i optimizatsiya proektnykh reshenii) [Modeling of territorial systems (forecasting and optimization of design solutions)]. Kiev, Budivel'nik, 1992, 144 p.
3. Kleinera G.B. (ed.) Mezoekonomika razvitiya [The mesoeconomics of development]. Moscow, Nauka, 2010, 944 p.
4. Chereshneva V.A., Tatarkina A.I., Glaz'eva S.Yu. (eds.) Prognozirovanie sotsial'no-ekonomicheskogo razvitiya regiona [The forecasting of socio-economic development of the region]. Ekaterinburg, Institut ekonomiki UrO RAN, 2011, 1104 p.
5. Naumov S.V., Ermolenko A.A. Kategoriya mesta v so-vremennoi teorii ekonomicheskogo prostranstva [The category of place in modern theory of economic space], Prostranstvennaya ekonomika [The Spatial Economy], 2020, vol. 16, no. 2, pp. 101—123. DOI: 10.14530/se.2020.2.101-123.
6. Baklanova P.Ya., Shinkovskogo M.Yu. (eds.) Transgranichnyi region. Ponyatie, sushchnost', forma [The transboundary region. Concept, essence, form]. Vladivostok, Dal'nauka, 2010, 276 p.
7. Minat V.N. Modelirovanie prostranstvennogo raz-vitiya transgranichnykh regionov SShA kak sotsial'no-ekonomicheskikh sistem mezourovnya [Modeling the spatial development of transboundary regions of the United States as socio-economic systems at the mesolevel], Ekonomicheskaya nauka sovremennoi Rossii [Economic science of modern Russia], 2022, no. 3 (98), pp. 83—96. DOI: 10.33293/1609-1442-2022-3(98)-83-96.
8. Revised Delineations. Revised Delineations of Metropoli-tan Statistical Areas, Micropolitan Statistical Areas, and Combined Statistical Areas, and Guidance on Uses of the De-lineations of These Areas, Office of Management and Budget bulletin, 2013, no. 13—01, 454 p.
9. Becker G.S. A Treatise on the Family. Enlarged edition. Cambrridge, Massachusetts, Harvard, University Press, 1993, 440 p.
10. Asemoglu D. Vvedenie v teoriyu sovremennogo ekonomicheskogo rosta [Introduction to the theory of modern economic growth], in 2 b. Book 2. Moscow, Delo, RANKhiGS, 2018, 736 p. (in Russ)
11. Becker G.S., Murphy K.M., Tamura R. Human Capital, Fertility and Economic Growth, Journal of Political Economy, 1990, vol. 98 (part 2), no. 5, pp. S12—S37. DOI: 0022-3808'90/9803-0012$01 50.
12. Florida R. Who’s your city: How the creative economy is making where to live the most important decision of your life. New York, Basic Books, 2008, 488 p.
13. Wacquant L. Urban Marginality in the Coming Millenni-um, Urban Studies, 1999, vol. 36, no. 10, pp. 1639—1647. DOI: 10.1080/0042098992746.
14. Banerjee A.V., Newman A. Information, the Dual Econ-omy and Development, Review of Economic Studies, 1998, vol. 65, no. 4, pp. 631—653. DOI: 0034-6527/98/00290631S02.00.
15. Acemoglu D., Zilibotti F. Information Accumulation in Development, Journal of Economic Growth, 1999, vol. 4, issue 1, pp. 5—38.
16. Peirce N., Johnson C., Hall J. Citistates: How urban America can prosper in a competitive world. Denver, Seven Locks Press, 1993, 430 p.
17. Buckley F.H. American Secession: The Looming Threat of a National Breakup. New York, London, Encounter books, 2020, 184 p.
18. Shtoyunda E.M. Federalizm epokhi global'noi turbulentnosti [Federalism in an age of global turbulence], SShA & Kanada: ekonomika, politika, kul'tura [USA and Canada: economics, politics, culture], 2021, vol. 51, no. 4, pp. 54—72. DOI: 10.31857/S268667300014339-2.
19. Minat V.N. Otsenka differentsiatsii etnodemograficheskogo faktora kul'turnoi evolyutsii v SShA: regional'noe issledovanie [An Evaluation of the differentiation of ethnodemographic factors in cultural evolution in the United States: A Regional Study], Regionalistika [Regionalistics], 2022, vol. 9, no. 5, pp. 64—87. DOI: 10.14530/reg.2022.5.64.
20. Minat V.N. Etnodemograficheskaya neodnorodnost' i sotsial'no-ekonomicheskoe razvitie yugo-zapadnykh shtatov SShA [Ethno-demographic heterogeneity and socio-economic development in the southwestern United States], Obshchestvennye nauki i sovremennost' [Economic science of modern Russia], 2022, no. 5, pp. 128—143. DOI: 10.31857/S0869049922050069.
21. Piorunskii I.D., Sumberg G.I., Mukhametzyanov I.Z. Prognoz klyuchevykh pokazatelei slozhnoorganizovannoi ekonomicheskoi sistemy [Forecast of key indicators of a complex economic system], Ekonomicheskaya nauka sovremennoi Rossii [Economic science of modern Russia], 2022, no. 4 (99), pp. 49—62. DOI: 10.33293/1609-1442-2022-4(99)-49-62.
22. Tkachenko A.A. Ekonomika narodonaseleniya versus ekonomicheskaya demografiya [Population economics versus economic demography], Statistika i ekonomika [Statistics and economics], 2017, vol. 14, no. 5, pp. 94—104. DOI: 10.21686/2500-3925-2017-5-94-104.
23. Petrovskaya N.E. Molodezhnyi rynok truda v SShA [Youth Labor Market in the United States], Obshchestvennye nauki i sovremennost' [Social sciences and modernity], 2021, no. 2, pp. 66—78. DOI: 10.31857/S086904990014322-6.
24. Marusenko M.A., Marusenko N.M. Perepisi naseleniya v SShA i etnorasovyi vopros [The U.S. Census and the Ethnoracial Question], SShA & Kanada: ekonomika, politika, kul'tura [USA and Canada: economics, politics, culture], 2019, vol. 49, no. 6, pp. 5—21. DOI: 10.31857/S032120680005176-7.
25. Minat V.N. Vliyanie etnokul'turnogo raznoobraziya na ekonomicheskii rost i prostranstvennoe razvitie transgranichnykh territorii SShA [The Impact of ethno-cultural diversity on economic growth and spatial development in cross-border areas of the United States], Vestnik Chelyabinskogo gosudarstvennogo universiteta [Vestnik (Herald) of Chelyabinsk State University], 2022, no. 12 (470), Ekonomicheskie nauki [Economic sciences], issue. 79, pp. 55—67. DOI: 10.47475/1994-2796-2022-11207.
26. Spreg Sh. Zamedlenie rosta proizvoditel'nosti truda v SShA: analiz na urovne ekonomiki i otraslei [The slowdown in U.S. productivity growth: an economic and sectoral analysis], Ekonomist [The Economist], 2021, no. 5, pp. 13—53.
Review
For citations:
Ignasheva T.A. Modeling of livestock and crop production in the region. Territory Development. 2023;(2 (32)):72-81. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.32324/2412-8945-2023-2-72-81