Assessment of the boundary of the emergence of economic instability
https://doi.org/10.32324/2412-8945-2022-4-17-23
Abstract
The problem of finding the borders of the critical value of the economic number and obtaining relationships that allow a qualitative analysis of the state of economics of various macroeconomic objects is considered. To solve this problem, the apparatus of vector analysis and the theory of dimensions are used. As a result of the research the order of change modulus of rate of unstable development of economy during creation of gross product of the given volume is found. It is proved that the growth of the main factors of production is proportional to the scale of the economy. The boundary of the emergence of resistance to the development of the economy, which appears due to external and internal factors, is found. An equality is obtained that allows us to evaluate the effectiveness of the development of investments at any time intervals. The basic properties of the economic number are studied and its application for the study of the economies of various objects is found. An additional tool has been obtained for dynamic comparative analysis of various economies, regardless of their volumes and economic indicators.
About the Authors
S. B. Kuznetsov
Siberian Institute of Management — branch of Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration
Russian Federation
Russian Federation
Sergey B. Kuznetsov — Candidate of Physical and Mathematical Sciences, Associate Professor
Novosibirsk
ReseacherID L6105-2016
S. Zerdzinski
CATS College
United Kingdom
United Kingdom
Sveta Zerdzinski — lecturer
London
References
1. Kondrat'ev N.D. Bol'shie tsikly kon"yunktury i teoriya predvideniya [Great cycles of conjuncture and predictive theory]. Moscow, Publ. Ekonomika, 2002, pp. 344—345.
2. Tugan-Baranovskii M.I., Abalkin L.I. (ed.) Periodicheskie promyshlennye krizisy. Istoriya angliiskikh krizisov. Obshchaya teoriya krizisov [Periodic industrial crises. History of English crises. General theory of crises: Favourites]. Moscow, Nauka Rosspen, 1997, 574 p.
3. Aukutsionek S.P. Diskussionnye voprosy teorii tsikla [Debatable issues of cycle theory]. Moscow, M EMO AN SSSR, 1990, 294 p.
4. Burlachkov V. Turbulentnost' ekonomicheskikh protsessov (teoreticheskie aspekty) [Turbulence in economic processes (theoretical aspects)], Voprosy ekonomiki [], 2009, no. 11, pp. 90—97.
5. Grinberg P.C. Krizis i puti ego preodoleniya [The crisis and ways to overcome it], Rossiya v usloviyakh mirovogo krizisa: Analiticheskie doklady pobeditelei konkursa RGNF-2009 [Russia in the Global Crisis: Analytical Papers of the Winners of the 2009 RGNF contest]. Moscow, 2009, 320 p.
6. Glaz'ev S.Yu. Mirovoi ekonomicheskii krizis kak protsess smeny tekhnologicheskikh ukladov [The global economic crisis as a process of technological change], Voprosy ekonomiki [Questions of economics], 2009, no. 3, pp. 26—38.
7. Yakovets Yu.V. Ekonomicheskie krizisy: teorii, tendentsii, perspektivy [Economic crises: theories, trends, prospects]. Moscow, MFK, 2003, 58 p.
8. Fanelli J.M. Macroeconomic Volatility, Institutions and Financial Architectures: The Developing World Experience. Palgrave MacMillan, 2008, 432 p.
9. Golovanov E.B. Metodicheskii podkhod v otsenke ustoichivogo razvitiya regional'noi ekonomiki [Methodological approach in assessing the sustainable development of the regional economy], Sovremennye tekhnologii upravleniya [Modern management technologies], no. 3 (51), st. 5104 (data publikatsii: 2015-03-08). Available at: http://sovman.ru/article/5104/
10. Omel'chenko E.V. Kriterial'nye pokazateli ustoichivogo razvitiya regional'nykh ekonomicheskikh system [Criteria indicators of sustainable development of regional economic systems]. Available at: http://cyberleninka.ru/article/n/kriterialnye-pokazateli-ustoychivogorazvitiya-regionalnyh-ekonomicheskih-sistem
11. Polbin A.V., Sinel'nikov-Murylev S.G., Trunin I.V. Ekonomicheskii krizis 2020 goda: prichiny i mery po ego preodoleniyu i dal'neishemu razvitiyu Rossii [The economic crisis of 2020: causes and measures to overcome it and the future development of Russia]. Available at: https://institutiones.com/general/3585-ekonomicheskii-krizis-2020.html
12. Frenkel' A.A., Raiskaya N.N., Sergienko Ya.V., Mal'tseva I.G. Investitsii i ekonomicheskii rost [Investment and economic growth], Vestnik Rossiiskogo gumanitarnogo nauchnogo fonda [Vestnik of the Russian Humanities research fund], 2013, no. 3, pp. 55—64.
13. Antolin-Diaz J., Drechsel T., Petrella I. Tracking the slowdown in long-run GDP growth, Review of Economics and Statistics, 2017, vol. 99, no. 2, pp. 343—356. DOI.org 10.1162REST_a_00646. Available at: https://institutiones.com/general/3585-ekonomicheskii-krizis-2020.html
14. Cavalcanti D.V., Mohaddes K., Raissi M. Commodity price volatility and the sources of growth, Journal of Applied Econometrics, 2015, vol. 30, no. 6, pp. 857—873. DOI.org 10.1002jae.2407. Available at: https://institutiones.com/general/3585-ekonomicheskii-krizis-2020.html
15. Torres de Oliveira R., Indulska M., Steen J., Verreynne M.-L. Towards a framework for innovation in retailing through social media, Journal of Retailing and Consumer Services, 2019. DOI: 10.1016/j.jretconser.2019.01.017.
16. Report of the World Commission on Environment and Development: Our Common Future. UK, Oxford University Press, 1987, 300 p.
17. Nikolis G., Prigozhin I. Samoorganizatsiya v neravnovesnykh sistemakh. Ot dissipativnykh struktur k uporyadochennosti cherez fluktuatsii [Self-organization in unequilibrium systems. From dissipative structures to ordering through fluctuations]. Moscow, Mir, 1979, 512 p.
18. Kuznetsov S.B. Modelirovanie obnovleniya faktorov proizvodstva [Modeling of the renewal of production factors], Ekonomicheskii analiz: teoriya i praktika [Economic analysis: theory and practice], 2010, no. 40 (205), pp. 203—209.
19. Total Economy Growth Accounting Database, Other Database. Available at: http://www.eco.rug.nl/ggdc/indexdseries.html (accessed: 18.05.2022).
20. Kuznetsov S.B. Modelirovanie podobnykh ekonomik [Modeling of similar economies], Aktual'nye problemy ekonomiki i prava [Actual problems of economics and law], 2017, vol. 11, no. 2, pp. 100—113. DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.21202/1993-047X.11.2017.2.100-11.
21. Kuznetsov S.B. Ekonomicheskoe chislo [Economic number], Ekonomika i upravlenie [Economics and management], 2010, no. 11 (61), pp. 32—37.
22. Kuznetsov S.B. Divergence as measure of intensity of capital expenditures, Economic Computation & Economic Cybernetics Studies & Research, 2018, vol. 52, iss. 3, pp. 217—230. Available at: https://www.researchgate.net/publication/328036034
23. Kuznetsov S. Dinamika obnovleniya faktorov proizvodstva [Dynamics of renewal of production factors]. Novosibirsk, Publ. Sibprint, 2010, 312 p.
Review
For citations:
Kuznetsov S.B., Zerdzinski S. Assessment of the boundary of the emergence of economic instability. Territory Development. 2022;(4 (30)):17-23. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.32324/2412-8945-2022-4-17-23
Views:
180
Email this article 